Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study

Accurate and reliable flood water level prediction is very difficult to achieve as it is often characterized as chaotic in nature. Prediction using conventional neural network techniques with back propagation algorithm which was widely used does not provide reliable prediction results. Flood water l...

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发表在:Proceedings - 2013 IEEE 3rd International Conference on System Engineering and Technology, ICSET 2013
主要作者: 2-s2.0-84891096883
格式: Conference paper
语言:English
出版: 2013
在线阅读:https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84891096883&doi=10.1109%2fICSEngT.2013.6650171&partnerID=40&md5=63ba98e30991dcadcd39f9aa8d68a634
id Ruslan F.A.; Samad A.M.; Zain Z.M.; Adnan R.
spelling Ruslan F.A.; Samad A.M.; Zain Z.M.; Adnan R.
2-s2.0-84891096883
Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
2013
Proceedings - 2013 IEEE 3rd International Conference on System Engineering and Technology, ICSET 2013


10.1109/ICSEngT.2013.6650171
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84891096883&doi=10.1109%2fICSEngT.2013.6650171&partnerID=40&md5=63ba98e30991dcadcd39f9aa8d68a634
Accurate and reliable flood water level prediction is very difficult to achieve as it is often characterized as chaotic in nature. Prediction using conventional neural network techniques with back propagation algorithm which was widely used does not provide reliable prediction results. Flood water level is characterizing as a dynamic nonlinear properties that cannot be represented by static neural network such as back propagation algorithm. Therefore, NARX NN is propose as the identification model because it could reflect the dynamic characteristics of the flood water level, as NARX structure includes the feedback of the network output. This paper compares the prediction performances of NARX model and EKF prediction technique in flood water level prediction. EKF is well known as the best nonlinear state estimator. Results showed that NARX model performed better than EKF prediction technique. © 2013 IEEE.


English
Conference paper

author 2-s2.0-84891096883
spellingShingle 2-s2.0-84891096883
Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
author_facet 2-s2.0-84891096883
author_sort 2-s2.0-84891096883
title Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
title_short Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
title_full Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
title_fullStr Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
title_full_unstemmed Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
title_sort Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: A comparative study
publishDate 2013
container_title Proceedings - 2013 IEEE 3rd International Conference on System Engineering and Technology, ICSET 2013
container_volume
container_issue
doi_str_mv 10.1109/ICSEngT.2013.6650171
url https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84891096883&doi=10.1109%2fICSEngT.2013.6650171&partnerID=40&md5=63ba98e30991dcadcd39f9aa8d68a634
description Accurate and reliable flood water level prediction is very difficult to achieve as it is often characterized as chaotic in nature. Prediction using conventional neural network techniques with back propagation algorithm which was widely used does not provide reliable prediction results. Flood water level is characterizing as a dynamic nonlinear properties that cannot be represented by static neural network such as back propagation algorithm. Therefore, NARX NN is propose as the identification model because it could reflect the dynamic characteristics of the flood water level, as NARX structure includes the feedback of the network output. This paper compares the prediction performances of NARX model and EKF prediction technique in flood water level prediction. EKF is well known as the best nonlinear state estimator. Results showed that NARX model performed better than EKF prediction technique. © 2013 IEEE.
publisher
issn
language English
format Conference paper
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