Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)-Based GIC Prediction Using dB/dt as a Proxy

Geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) pose a significant threat to power systems during geomagnetic storms. This work introduces a GRU approach for GICs forecasting based on the rate of change of the geomagnetic field, dB/dt at two low-latitude stations, Muntinlupa (MUT) and Guam (GUA). The perfor...

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书目详细资料
发表在:Journal of Physics: Conference Series
主要作者: Zainuddin A.; Hairuddin M.A.; Abd Latiff Z.I.; Benavides F.; Jusoh M.H.; Mohd Yassin A.I.
格式: Conference paper
语言:English
出版: Institute of Physics 2024
在线阅读:https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85214798443&doi=10.1088%2f1742-6596%2f2915%2f1%2f012012&partnerID=40&md5=f3fe812a465458cedecdf5a984e4f01a
实物特征
总结:Geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) pose a significant threat to power systems during geomagnetic storms. This work introduces a GRU approach for GICs forecasting based on the rate of change of the geomagnetic field, dB/dt at two low-latitude stations, Muntinlupa (MUT) and Guam (GUA). The performances of the model were evaluated based on the data collected from the Solar Cycle 23 (SC23) as training data, and Solar Cycle 24 (SC24) at the validation stage. The GRU model demonstrated good predictive accuracy with low RMSE values, particularly for MUT model (RMSE = 0.00917). MUT shows higher predictive accuracy and generalizability across MUT station itself and GUA station. This work underlines the potential of GRU models for GIC prediction, providing a foundation for more robust forecasting tools to mitigate the impacts of geomagnetic disturbances on power systems. © 2024 Institute of Physics Publishing. All rights reserved.
ISSN:17426588
DOI:10.1088/1742-6596/2915/1/012012